Just a few weeks ago, British Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson published a viral “study” that predicted several million people would die from the Chinese Coronavirus, but he is now making a stunning reversal.
His findings went viral a few weeks ago, which threw the whole world into a panic. However, Ferguson is now walking back his claims, saying that the predicted death rate will be much lower than initially believed.
Reporter Alex Berenson summarized this reversal in a series of tweets, and it is great news for anyone who is looking for the proverbial “light at the end of the tunnel”.
Here is the easy-to-read text version of his tweets that you can see below:
1/ This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the Imperial College authors who warned of 500,000 UK deaths – and who has now himself tested positive for #COVID;
2/ He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. – more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.
3/ Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased – which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize – which in turn implies it is less dangerous.
4/ Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within “two to three weeks” – last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary.
5/ One last point here: Ferguson gives the lockdown credit, which is *interesting* – the UK only began ita lockdown 2 days ago, and the theory is that lockdowns take 2 weeks or more to work.
6/ Not surprisingly, this testimony has received no attention in the US – I found it only in UK papers. Team Apocalypse is not interested.
This is important because the US is far ahead of the UK in terms of lockdown strategies. If the UK cases are now projected to “peak” in 2-3 weeks, we here in the states are not far behind.
Here are Berenson’s tweets:
You can read more of his tweets from our friends at Trending Politics.